WSH
5–8
BUF
Final · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 47-17-9
5–8
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 31-36-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
11016313529
BUF
173848823
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
WSH 47-17-9 · BUF 31-36-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
Capitals fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.8 expected goals); the Capitals lost 5–8. Logan Thompson allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.8, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
WSH 3.6 xG · 29 shots
BUF 3.8 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.9
3rd
1.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 10:06 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 12:49 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (40%)
3
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 02:14 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (69%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 02:46 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 05:17 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Sam Lafferty · 2nd 11:52 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 00:37 · 3–4 · snap shot, a great chance (36%)
8
Tage Thompson · 3rd 01:28 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Jack Quinn · 3rd 05:52 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
10
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 09:11 · 4–6 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 14:03 · 5–6 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
12
Alex Tuch · 3rd 15:34 · 5–7 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
13
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 19:36 · 5–8 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 47.
WSH 47%BUF 53%
Goals and penalties
13 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 10:06 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 12:49 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (40%)
3
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 02:14 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (69%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 02:46 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 05:17 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Sam Lafferty · 2nd 11:52 · 2–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 00:37 · SH · 3–4
Snap shot, a great chance (36%)
8
Tage Thompson · 3rd 01:28 · PP · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Jack Quinn · 3rd 05:52 · GWG · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
10
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 09:11 · 4–6
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 14:03 · PP · 5–6
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
12
Alex Tuch · 3rd 15:34 · 5–7
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
13
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 19:36 · EN · 5–8
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
10
Rasmus Sandin, Trevor van Riemsdyk · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–6
No penalties
Goaltending
15/22 saves · 7 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
