WPG
4–2
TBL
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 25-13-1
4–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 24-13-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
141927420
TBL
11215011228
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 25-13-1 · TBL 24-13-1 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Lightning
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.1 expected goals); the Jets won 4–2. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.1, on 20 and 28 shots on goal.
WPG 3.2 xG · 20 shots
TBL 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 11:48 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 19:21 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 01:35 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 2nd 07:05 · 2–2 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 05:38 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Morgan Barron · 3rd 18:34 · 4–2 · wrap around shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 51.
WPG 51%TBL 49%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 11:48 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 19:21 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 01:35 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 2nd 07:05 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 05:38 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Morgan Barron · 3rd 18:34 · EN · 4–2
Wrap around shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
