Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 48-19-4
3–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 28-35-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
010113213336
BUF
131638517
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WPG 48-19-4 · BUF 28-35-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Jets fell to the Sabres
The Jets created the better chances (3.8 to 1.2 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Eric Comrie allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.2, on 36 and 17 shots on goal.
WPG 3.8 xG · 36 shots
BUF 1.2 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.1
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.2
3rd
1.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 09:15 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 02:05 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 18:46 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Kozak · 3rd 07:13 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Colin Miller · 3rd 07:41 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 13:21 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 16:32 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:13 · 3–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 88.
WPG 88%BUF 12%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 09:15 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 02:05 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 18:46 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Kozak · 3rd 07:13 · PP · 1–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Colin Miller · 3rd 07:41 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 13:21 · SH · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 16:32 · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:13 · EN · 3–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Jacob Bernard-Docker, Ryan McLeod · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
12/16 saves · 4 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.