BOS
5–2
CAR
Final · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 3-3
5–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-3
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
08211315534
CAR
0110628225
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
BOS 3-3 · CAR 3-3 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Bruins beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.3 expected goals); the Bruins won 5–2. Antti Raanta allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 34 and 25 shots on goal.
BOS 2.7 xG · 34 shots
CAR 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brad Marchand · 2nd 00:46 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 18:04 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 03:24 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Erik Haula · 3rd 07:08 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Derek Forbort · 3rd 10:43 · 4–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Curtis Lazar · 3rd 15:43 · 5–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 17:30 · 5–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 56.
BOS 56%CAR 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brad Marchand · 2nd 00:46 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 18:04 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 03:24 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Erik Haula · 3rd 07:08 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Derek Forbort · 3rd 10:43 · 4–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Curtis Lazar · 3rd 15:43 · EN · 5–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 17:30 · PP · 5–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
