Boston Bruins
BOS · 3-0-0
5–3
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 2-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
11219313534
FLA
011110220341
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
BOS 3-0-0 · FLA 2-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
Bruins beat the Panthers
The Bruins were outchanced (3.5 to 2.8 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 41 and 34 shots on goal.
BOS 2.8 xG · 34 shots
FLA 3.5 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd
1.3 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake DeBrusk · 1st 00:21 · 1–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (22%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 04:32 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Patrice Bergeron · 2nd 12:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
David Pastrnak · 3rd 07:01 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Trent Frederic · 3rd 12:31 · 4–1 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 12:58 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Colin White · 3rd 18:23 · 4–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
8
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 18:57 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 39.
BOS 39%FLA 61%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake DeBrusk · 1st 00:21 · 1–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (22%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 04:32 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Patrice Bergeron · 2nd 12:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
David Pastrnak · 3rd 07:01 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Trent Frederic · 3rd 12:31 · GWG · 4–1
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 12:58 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Colin White · 3rd 18:23 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
8
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 18:57 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.