BOS
7–1
BUF
Final · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 48-8-5
7–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 31-25-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
011216515742
BUF
0907111127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins lead the season series 2–1
BOS 48-8-5 · BUF 31-25-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins lead the season series 2–1
Bruins beat the Sabres
The Bruins earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 2.3, and a 7–1 win to show for it. Jeremy Swayman stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 42 and 27 shots on goal.
BOS 4.5 xG · 42 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.6
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 12:01 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jakub Lauko · 2nd 13:27 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 08:35 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
David Pastrnak · 3rd 14:44 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 15:40 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Patrice Bergeron · 3rd 16:39 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Connor Clifton · 3rd 17:03 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jakub Lauko · 3rd 19:08 · 7–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 80.
BOS 80%BUF 20%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 12:01 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jakub Lauko · 2nd 13:27 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 08:35 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
David Pastrnak · 3rd 14:44 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 15:40 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Patrice Bergeron · 3rd 16:39 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Connor Clifton · 3rd 17:03 · SH · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jakub Lauko · 3rd 19:08 · 7–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 4.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
