BUF
7–4
WSH
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 31-23-4
7–4
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 29-27-6
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
210417110737
WSH
21128011430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
BUF 31-23-4 · WSH 29-27-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
Sabres beat the Capitals
The Sabres earned it: 5.3 expected goals to 2.4, and a 7–4 win to show for it. Darcy Kuemper allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 5.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 37 and 30 shots on goal.
BUF 5.3 xG · 37 shots
WSH 2.4 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
2.4 · 0.9
3rd
1.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 10:40 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 14:45 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 16:35 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
T.J. Oshie · 1st 16:50 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
· 2nd 05:49 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 08:36 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Vinnie Hinostroza · 2nd 10:07 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 12:49 · 6–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (36%)
9
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 15:49 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
10
· 2nd 18:40 · 6–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
11
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 11:52 · 7–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 85.
BUF 85%WSH 15%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 10:40 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 14:45 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 16:35 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
T.J. Oshie · 1st 16:50 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
5
· 2nd 05:49 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 08:36 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Vinnie Hinostroza · 2nd 10:07 · GWG · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 12:49 · 6–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (36%)
9
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 15:49 · 6–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
10
· 2nd 18:40 · PP · 6–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
11
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 11:52 · 7–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
