Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 33-30-6
0–7
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 53-11-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01105010026
BOS
3718310725
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–3
BUF 33-30-6 · BOS 53-11-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–3
Sabres fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.2 expected goals); the Sabres lost 0–7. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.2, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.
BUF 2.9 xG · 26 shots
BOS 3.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Patrice Bergeron · 1st 00:15 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
2
Garnet Hathaway · 1st 09:01 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jake DeBrusk · 1st 11:40 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Hampus Lindholm · 2nd 07:48 · 0–4 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
David Pastrnak · 3rd 10:37 · 0–5 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 11:33 · 0–6 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Charlie McAvoy · 3rd 17:59 · 0–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 45.
BUF 45%BOS 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Patrice Bergeron · 1st 00:15 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
2
Garnet Hathaway · 1st 09:01 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jake DeBrusk · 1st 11:40 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Hampus Lindholm · 2nd 07:48 · 0–4
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
David Pastrnak · 3rd 10:37 · PP · 0–5
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 11:33 · 0–6
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Charlie McAvoy · 3rd 17:59 · 0–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/25 saves · 7 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/26 saves · 0 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.