BUF
3–2
NYR
Final / OT · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 36-31-7
3–2
Final / OTW
New York Rangers
NYR · 44-21-11
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
1111130911334
NYR
021912002233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 36-31-7 · NYR 44-21-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Rangers
The Sabres were outchanced (3.4 to 2.8 expected goals) but won it in overtime on 's goal anyway. Devon Levi stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 33 and 34 shots on goal.
BUF 2.8 xG · 34 shots
NYR 3.4 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
OT
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 11:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 07:39 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Kaapo Kakko · 2nd 12:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Adam Fox · 3rd 09:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
5
· OT 01:50 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 40.
BUF 40%NYR 60%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 11:20 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 07:39 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Kaapo Kakko · 2nd 12:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Adam Fox · 3rd 09:45 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
5
· OT 01:50 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
