Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-30-5
4–0
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 29-22-14
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01331618437
NYI
0506010021
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
BUF 32-30-5 · NYI 29-22-14 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
Sabres beat the Islanders
The Sabres earned it: 2.4 expected goals to 1.5, and a 4–0 win to show for it. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.5, on 37 and 21 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 37 shots
NYI 1.5 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 04:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 08:15 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
3
Zach Benson · 2nd 09:41 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Zach Benson · 3rd 15:06 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 68.
BUF 68%NYI 32%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 04:28 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 08:15 · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
3
Zach Benson · 2nd 09:41 · 3–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Zach Benson · 3rd 15:06 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/21 saves · 0 GA · 1.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.