BUF
2–6
OTT
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 34-34-5
2–6
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 31-36-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01121708236
OTT
51801519642
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
BUF 34-34-5 · OTT 31-36-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Sabres fell to the Senators
The Sabres were outchanced (4.0 to 2.9 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 42 and 36 shots on goal.
BUF 2.9 xG · 36 shots
OTT 4.0 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.0 · 1.9
2nd
1.5 · 1.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artem Zub · 1st 02:37 · 0–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
· 1st 04:56 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 06:01 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 08:49 · 0–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 19:11 · 0–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
JJ Peterka · 2nd 02:54 · 1–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
7
Connor Clifton · 2nd 13:07 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Shane Pinto · 3rd 16:43 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 34.
BUF 34%OTT 66%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artem Zub · 1st 02:37 · 0–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
· 1st 04:56 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 06:01 · GWG · 0–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 08:49 · 0–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 19:11 · 0–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
JJ Peterka · 2nd 02:54 · 1–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
7
Connor Clifton · 2nd 13:07 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Shane Pinto · 3rd 16:43 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
5/9 saves · 4 GA · 0.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
