BUF
5–2
FLA
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 1-3-0
5–2
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 1-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
2621318527
FLA
11011104225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 1-3-0 · FLA 1-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Panthers
The Sabres earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 1.5, and a 5–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.5, on 27 and 25 shots on goal.
BUF 3.5 xG · 27 shots
FLA 1.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nate Schmidt · 1st 09:01 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Greenway · 1st 16:46 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 17:27 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Henri Jokiharju · 2nd 01:34 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 16:22 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Sam Bennett · 2nd 18:42 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:48 · 5–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 82.
BUF 82%FLA 18%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nate Schmidt · 1st 09:01 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Greenway · 1st 16:46 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 17:27 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Henri Jokiharju · 2nd 01:34 · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 16:22 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Sam Bennett · 2nd 18:42 · PP · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:48 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
