BUF
3–4
VAN
Final / OT · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-10-2
3–4
Final / OTL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 12-7-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
170721802334
VAN
06192611422
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 11-10-2 · VAN 12-7-3 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Canucks
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.7 expected goals); the Sabres lost it in overtime on Garland's goal. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 34 and 22 shots on goal.
BUF 2.8 xG · 34 shots
VAN 2.7 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.2
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
OT
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bowen Byram · 1st 17:33 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 18:12 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
3
Conor Garland · 3rd 05:15 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Pius Suter · 3rd 09:00 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 13:18 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 14:57 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Conor Garland · OT 03:59 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a great chance (46%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 51.
BUF 51%VAN 49%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bowen Byram · 1st 17:33 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 18:12 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
3
Conor Garland · 3rd 05:15 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Pius Suter · 3rd 09:00 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 13:18 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 14:57 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Conor Garland · OT 03:59 · GWG · 3–4
Backhand shot, a great chance (46%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
