BUF
5–6
DET
Final / SO · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-13-4
5–6
Final / SOL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 11-13-4
1ST2ND3RDSOT
BUF
37210040521
DET
291102121631
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
BUF 11-13-4 · DET 11-13-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
Sabres fell to the Red Wings
The Sabres let a 5–3 lead get away: the Red Wings came back with two unanswered goals — Seider's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Ville Husso allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 31 and 21 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 21 shots
DET 3.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
OT
0.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zach Benson · 1st 01:38 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 04:05 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Andrew Copp · 1st 04:46 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Tage Thompson · 1st 10:25 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Jason Zucker · 1st 15:26 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 01:05 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 2nd 02:26 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
8
Jason Zucker · 2nd 09:46 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Andrew Copp · 3rd 10:27 · 5–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
10
Moritz Seider · 3rd 15:42 · 5–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 33.
BUF 33%DET 67%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zach Benson · 1st 01:38 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 04:05 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Andrew Copp · 1st 04:46 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Tage Thompson · 1st 10:25 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Jason Zucker · 1st 15:26 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 01:05 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 2nd 02:26 · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
8
Jason Zucker · 2nd 09:46 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Andrew Copp · 3rd 10:27 · 5–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
10
Moritz Seider · 3rd 15:42 · 5–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Red Wings
Goaltending
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
