BUF
3–6
TOR
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-18-4
3–6
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 21-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
0921117327
TOR
2931218629
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
BUF 11-18-4 · TOR 21-10-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
Sabres fell to the Maple Leafs
The Sabres were outchanced (3.5 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 3–6. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.9, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
BUF 1.9 xG · 27 shots
TOR 3.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 01:29 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 06:05 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nick Robertson · 2nd 01:53 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 02:22 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Max Domi · 2nd 04:27 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Max Pacioretty · 2nd 10:47 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 15:56 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Owen Power · 3rd 11:56 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
9
William Nylander · 3rd 19:40 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 26.
BUF 26%TOR 74%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 01:29 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 06:05 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nick Robertson · 2nd 01:53 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 02:22 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Max Domi · 2nd 04:27 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Max Pacioretty · 2nd 10:47 · 1–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 15:56 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Owen Power · 3rd 11:56 · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
9
William Nylander · 3rd 19:40 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
9/13 saves · 4 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
