BUF
4–2
CAR
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 17-22-5
4–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 26-16-3
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
11121310424
CAR
01101828237
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 17-22-5 · CAR 26-16-3 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Hurricanes
The Sabres were outchanced (3.6 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.2, on 37 and 24 shots on goal.
BUF 2.2 xG · 24 shots
CAR 3.6 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.1 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 00:43 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 08:18 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 19:56 · 3–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
4
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 03:45 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Martin Necas · 3rd 16:50 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:36 · 4–2 · into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 29.
BUF 29%CAR 71%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 00:43 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 08:18 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 19:56 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
4
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 03:45 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Martin Necas · 3rd 16:50 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:36 · EN · 4–2
into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
