BUF
2–6
SJS
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 24-30-6
2–6
FinalL
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 17-37-9
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
0511116222
SJS
01021147628
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 24-30-6 · SJS 17-37-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Sharks
The Sabres were outchanced (3.2 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sharks created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.9, on 28 and 22 shots on goal.
BUF 1.9 xG · 22 shots
SJS 3.2 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.8
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Timothy Liljegren · 2nd 01:01 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
JJ Peterka · 2nd 05:13 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Nico Sturm · 2nd 18:22 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
William Eklund · 3rd 02:19 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 06:55 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 07:58 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Will Smith · 3rd 12:49 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 18:01 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 30.
BUF 30%SJS 70%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Sharks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Timothy Liljegren · 2nd 01:01 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
JJ Peterka · 2nd 05:13 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Nico Sturm · 2nd 18:22 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
William Eklund · 3rd 02:19 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 06:55 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 07:58 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Will Smith · 3rd 12:49 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 18:01 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
4
Tyler Toffoli, Shakir Mukhamadullin · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–3
6
Shakir Mukhamadullin, Will Smith · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–4
No penalties
Goaltending
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
