BUF
5–4
PHI
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 36-39-7
5–4
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 33-39-10
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
31311018531
PHI
1511029424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
BUF 36-39-7 · PHI 33-39-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
Sabres beat the Flyers
The Sabres earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 2.1, and a 5–4 win to show for it. James Reimer allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.
BUF 2.9 xG · 31 shots
PHI 2.1 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 04:35 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Peyton Krebs · 1st 13:49 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Matvei Michkov · 1st 15:09 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jack Quinn · 1st 16:11 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 01:24 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 07:11 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 00:15 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:12 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Bobby Brink · 3rd 19:41 · 5–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 63.
BUF 63%PHI 37%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 04:35 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Peyton Krebs · 1st 13:49 · SH · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Matvei Michkov · 1st 15:09 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jack Quinn · 1st 16:11 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 01:24 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Matvei Michkov · 2nd 07:11 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Tyson Foerster · 3rd 00:15 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:12 · EN · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Bobby Brink · 3rd 19:41 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Jason Zucker, Jacob Bernard-Docker · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
