CHI
2–4
BUF
Final · L
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 2-3-1
2–4
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 2-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
012213012237
BUF
291815422
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
CHI 2-3-1 · BUF 2-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
Blackhawks fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.2 to 1.8 expected goals); the Blackhawks lost 2–4. Arvid Soderblom allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 37 and 22 shots on goal.
CHI 2.2 xG · 37 shots
BUF 1.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 08:39 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 11:31 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Craig Smith · 2nd 06:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Craig Smith · 2nd 12:48 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 18:37 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:34 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 58.
CHI 58%BUF 42%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Blackhawks shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 08:39 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 11:31 · 0–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Craig Smith · 2nd 06:28 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Craig Smith · 2nd 12:48 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 18:37 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:34 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
