Detroit Red Wings
DET · 18-18-4
3–2
Final / OTW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 19-17-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
114081813333
OTT
01021301000233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 18-18-4 · OTT 19-17-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings beat the Senators
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.5 expected goals); the Red Wings won it in overtime on Kane's goal. The Red Wings scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 33 and 33 shots on goal.
DET 2.8 xG · 33 shots
OTT 2.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.2 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
OT
0.5 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 08:30 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 12:25 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 19:05 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Joseph Veleno · 3rd 05:00 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
5
Patrick Kane · OT 02:21 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 55.
DET 55%OTT 45%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 08:30 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 12:25 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 19:05 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Joseph Veleno · 3rd 05:00 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
5
Patrick Kane · OT 02:21 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
10/10 saves · 0 GA · 0.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.