MIN
3–2
ANA
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 46-24-12
3–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 42-33-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1611113320
ANA
111011115237
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 3–0
MIN 46-24-12 · ANA 42-33-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 3–0
Wild beat the Ducks
The Wild were outchanced (3.4 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 37 and 20 shots on goal.
MIN 2.2 xG · 20 shots
ANA 3.4 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd
0.6 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason McTavish · 1st 10:27 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Danila Yurov · 1st 16:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Hunter Haight · 2nd 11:24 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 13:03 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Mason McTavish · 3rd 19:14 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 31.
MIN 31%ANA 69%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason McTavish · 1st 10:27 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Danila Yurov · 1st 16:42 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Hunter Haight · 2nd 11:24 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 13:03 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Mason McTavish · 3rd 19:14 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:32
Hunter Haight· Slashing
Hunter Haight· Slashing
McTavish scored on this power play
Minor
1
Jackson LaCombe, Ryan Poehling · Power play (Haight, slashing) · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:20
Beckett Sennecke· Cross-checking
Beckett Sennecke· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:20
Jeff Petry· Roughing
Jeff Petry· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:55
Jake Middleton· Tripping
Jake Middleton· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:39
Lukas Dostal· Delaying game puck over glass
Lukas Dostal· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:50
Michael McCarron· Interference
Michael McCarron· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Wild went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Ducks power plays.