Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 31-42-6
6–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 34-35-9
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
01341227632
WSH
1608112226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 1–2
MTL 31-42-6 · WSH 34-35-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens trail the season series 1–2
Canadiens beat the Capitals
Chances were even (3.3 to 2.9 expected goals); the Canadiens won 6–2. Darcy Kuemper allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 32 and 26 shots on goal.
MTL 3.3 xG · 32 shots
WSH 2.9 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Strome · 1st 05:30 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 03:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Joel Armia · 2nd 07:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brendan Gallagher · 2nd 09:23 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Joel Armia · 2nd 11:15 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nicklas Backstrom · 3rd 14:27 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Joel Armia · 3rd 16:58 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Mike Hoffman · 3rd 19:42 · 6–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 57.
MTL 57%WSH 43%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Strome · 1st 05:30 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 03:42 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Joel Armia · 2nd 07:52 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brendan Gallagher · 2nd 09:23 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Joel Armia · 2nd 11:15 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nicklas Backstrom · 3rd 14:27 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Joel Armia · 3rd 16:58 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Mike Hoffman · 3rd 19:42 · 6–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.