MTL
1–6
BUF
Final · L
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 16-17-5
1–6
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 16-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
01516012133
BUF
013214411638
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–1
MTL 16-17-5 · BUF 16-19-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–1
Canadiens fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.7 expected goals); the Canadiens lost 1–6. Devon Levi stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.7, on 33 and 38 shots on goal.
MTL 3.4 xG · 33 shots
BUF 3.7 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
3rd
1.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 05:33 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
· 2nd 06:59 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Joel Armia · 2nd 13:19 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jack Quinn · 3rd 06:45 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 08:35 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 14:31 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 18:32 · 1–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 47.
MTL 47%BUF 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Canadiens shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 05:33 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
· 2nd 06:59 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Joel Armia · 2nd 13:19 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jack Quinn · 3rd 06:45 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 08:35 · 1–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 14:31 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 18:32 · 1–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
