Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 22-25-8
3–4
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 24-21-8
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
11117113331
WSH
2160929434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–1
MTL 22-25-8 · WSH 24-21-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 2–1
Canadiens fell to the Capitals
The Canadiens were outchanced (3.7 to 2.8 expected goals) and lost 3–4. The Capitals owned the 1st period, 1.8 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.
MTL 2.8 xG · 31 shots
WSH 3.7 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.8 · 1.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.2
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Mantha · 1st 03:40 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
2
Arber Xhekaj · 1st 05:04 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
T.J. Oshie · 1st 10:00 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Alex Newhook · 2nd 16:15 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
· 3rd 03:27 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 09:45 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 11:57 · 3–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 37.
MTL 37%WSH 63%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Mantha · 1st 03:40 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
2
Arber Xhekaj · 1st 05:04 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
T.J. Oshie · 1st 10:00 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Alex Newhook · 2nd 16:15 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
· 3rd 03:27 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 09:45 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 11:57 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Nic Dowd, Anthony Mantha · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.