Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 2-1-0
4–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL
2704215426
OTT
0401219125
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
MTL 2-1-0 · OTT 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Canadiens lead the season series 1–0
Canadiens beat the Senators
The Canadiens earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.0, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Samuel Montembeault stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.
MTL 3.1 xG · 26 shots
OTT 2.0 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd
0.3 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Emil Heineman · 1st 10:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Cole Caufield · 1st 15:03 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Alex Newhook · 3rd 03:50 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 05:30 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · 3rd 07:43 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (53%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Canadiens win 68.
MTL 68%OTT 32%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Emil Heineman · 1st 10:37 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Cole Caufield · 1st 15:03 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Alex Newhook · 3rd 03:50 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Tim Stützle · 3rd 05:30 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · 3rd 07:43 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (53%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.