NSH
2–3
TBL
Final / OT · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 8-8-2
2–3
Final / OTL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 11-6-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
1120811101232
TBL
0181121613339
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 8-8-2 · TBL 11-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Lightning
The Predators were outchanced (3.7 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Stamkos's goal. The Lightning scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 39 and 32 shots on goal.
NSH 2.4 xG · 32 shots
TBL 3.7 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
OT
0.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 01:50 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 04:25 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 05:04 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Alex Killorn · 3rd 16:39 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Steven Stamkos · OT 02:36 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 31.
NSH 31%TBL 69%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 01:50 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 04:25 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 05:04 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Alex Killorn · 3rd 16:39 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Steven Stamkos · OT 02:36 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
