Nashville Predators
NSH · 3-4-0
2–3
FinalL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 4-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
161507218
VAN
1621305324
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 3-4-0 · VAN 4-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Canucks
Chances were even (1.8 to 2.2 expected goals); the Predators lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 18 and 24 shots on goal.
NSH 1.8 xG · 18 shots
VAN 2.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.4
2nd
0.5 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 04:29 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Colton Sissons · 1st 15:38 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
· 2nd 00:22 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nils Hoglander · 2nd 03:11 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 09:18 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 42.
NSH 42%VAN 58%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 04:29 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Colton Sissons · 1st 15:38 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
· 2nd 00:22 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nils Hoglander · 2nd 03:11 · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 09:18 · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.