Nashville Predators
NSH · 11-12-0
3–4
FinalL
New York Rangers
NYR · 17-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
21819013340
NYR
083918425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 11-12-0 · NYR 17-4-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators fell to the Rangers
The Predators let a 2–0 lead get away: the Rangers came back with four unanswered goals — Trocheck's equalizer — and won 3–4. Kevin Lankinen allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 40 and 25 shots on goal.
NSH 3.8 xG · 40 shots
NYR 1.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
2nd
1.4 · 1.0
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 06:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Roman Josi · 1st 15:52 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jacob Trouba · 2nd 00:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Colton Sissons · 2nd 07:28 · 3–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
5
Chris Kreider · 2nd 08:52 · 3–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 09:11 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Ryan Lindgren · 3rd 05:10 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 80.
NSH 80%NYR 20%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 06:19 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Roman Josi · 1st 15:52 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jacob Trouba · 2nd 00:31 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Colton Sissons · 2nd 07:28 · SH · 3–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
5
Chris Kreider · 2nd 08:52 · 3–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 09:11 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Ryan Lindgren · 3rd 05:10 · GWG · 3–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Vincent Trocheck, Adam Fox · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.