NSH
3–7
UTA
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 29-44-8
3–7
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 38-30-13
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1152709331
UTA
211212313736
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
NSH 29-44-8 · UTA 38-30-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
Predators fell to the Mammoth
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.3 expected goals); the Predators lost 3–7. Juuse Saros allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.3, on 31 and 36 shots on goal.
NSH 3.2 xG · 31 shots
UTA 3.3 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 06:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Michael Kesselring · 1st 12:30 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nick Bjugstad · 1st 18:21 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Logan Cooley · 2nd 03:03 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 04:13 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 11:01 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Michael Bunting · 2nd 14:20 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
8
Clayton Keller · 3rd 12:05 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Clayton Keller · 3rd 18:13 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 19:35 · 3–7 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 49.
NSH 49%UTA 51%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Mammoth shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 06:10 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Michael Kesselring · 1st 12:30 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nick Bjugstad · 1st 18:21 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Logan Cooley · 2nd 03:03 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 04:13 · PP · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 11:01 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Michael Bunting · 2nd 14:20 · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
8
Clayton Keller · 3rd 12:05 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Clayton Keller · 3rd 18:13 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 19:35 · 3–7
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
3
Alexander Kerfoot, Kevin Stenlund · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/35 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
