NYI
5–1
WSH
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 17-9-9
5–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 17-11-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
010212310532
WSH
0809110127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
NYI 17-9-9 · WSH 17-11-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Islanders beat the Capitals
The Islanders earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.0, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Darcy Kuemper allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.0, on 32 and 27 shots on goal.
NYI 3.3 xG · 32 shots
WSH 2.0 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.3 · 0.6
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 04:51 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Noah Dobson · 2nd 06:01 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Julien Gauthier · 3rd 10:10 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Julien Gauthier · 3rd 10:28 · 4–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 14:26 · 5–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (29%)
6
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 3rd 19:42 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 71.
NYI 71%WSH 29%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 04:51 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Noah Dobson · 2nd 06:01 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Julien Gauthier · 3rd 10:10 · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Julien Gauthier · 3rd 10:28 · 4–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 14:26 · 5–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (29%)
6
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · 3rd 19:42 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
