PIT
7–3
TBL
Final · W
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 29-21-9
7–3
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 37-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT
11061907736
TBL
2809112329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–0
PIT 29-21-9 · TBL 37-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Penguins lead the season series 2–0
Penguins beat the Lightning
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.1 expected goals); the Penguins won 7–3. Brian Elliott allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.1, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
PIT 3.3 xG · 36 shots
TBL 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd
1.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 03:20 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 16:06 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:05 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:17 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 15:28 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Teddy Blueger · 2nd 16:20 · 4–2 · poke shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jeff Carter · 2nd 17:50 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Jason Zucker · 2nd 18:37 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Brian Dumoulin · 2nd 19:55 · 7–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Brayden Point · 3rd 07:57 · 7–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Penguins win 53.
PIT 53%TBL 47%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Penguins shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drew O'Connor · 1st 03:20 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 16:06 · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:05 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:17 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 15:28 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Teddy Blueger · 2nd 16:20 · GWG · 4–2
Poke shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jeff Carter · 2nd 17:50 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Jason Zucker · 2nd 18:37 · 6–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Brian Dumoulin · 2nd 19:55 · 7–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Brayden Point · 3rd 07:57 · PP · 7–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/36 saves · 7 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
