STL
2–3
PIT
Final / OT · L
St. Louis Blues
STL · 26-28-5
2–3
Final / OTL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 28-21-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
STL
071101901227
PIT
02111211312348
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
STL 26-28-5 · PIT 28-21-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–2
Blues fell to the Penguins
The Blues were outchanced (4.4 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Rust's goal. Jordan Binnington stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 48 and 27 shots on goal.
STL 2.2 xG · 27 shots
PIT 4.4 xG · 48 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 1.4
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 00:23 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:59 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Marcus Pettersson · 3rd 14:32 · 1–2 · snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Justin Faulk · 3rd 17:33 · 2–2 · poke shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Bryan Rust · OT 01:16 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 19.
STL 19%PIT 81%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Blues shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 00:23 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:59 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Marcus Pettersson · 3rd 14:32 · 1–2
Snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Justin Faulk · 3rd 17:33 · 2–2
Poke shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Bryan Rust · OT 01:16 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
3
Teddy Blueger, Drew O'Connor · snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
45/48 saves · 3 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
