St. Louis Blues
STL · 21-18-1
5–2
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 26-12-2
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
281725520
NYR
114014115243
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
STL 21-18-1 · NYR 26-12-2 · First meeting this season — the Blues lead the season series 1–0
Blues beat the Rangers
The Blues were outchanced (4.6 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Jordan Binnington stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 43 and 20 shots on goal.
STL 1.7 xG · 20 shots
NYR 4.6 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.6 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Fox · 1st 01:51 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 04:02 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 07:30 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Brandon Saad · 2nd 09:26 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 07:01 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 10:58 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 19:42 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 13.
STL 13%NYR 87%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Fox · 1st 01:51 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 04:02 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 07:30 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Brandon Saad · 2nd 09:26 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 07:01 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 10:58 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 19:42 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
41/43 saves · 2 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.