St. Louis Blues
STL · 3-3-1
4–7
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 6-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
STL
0327210420
UTA
4101827725
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
STL 3-3-1 · UTA 6-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Blues trail the season series 0–1
Blues fell to the Mammoth
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.3 expected goals); the Blues lost 4–7. Joel Hofer allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 20 and 25 shots on goal.
STL 2.7 xG · 20 shots
UTA 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
2nd
1.4 · 0.4
3rd
1.0 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ian Cole · 1st 03:18 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Logan Cooley · 1st 06:07 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Logan Cooley · 1st 07:57 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Logan Cooley · 1st 10:55 · 0–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Pius Suter · 2nd 05:58 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 07:13 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
7
Clayton Keller · 2nd 19:24 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Nathan Walker · 3rd 02:19 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Philip Broberg · 3rd 05:43 · 4–5 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 09:51 · 4–6 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
11
Clayton Keller · 3rd 18:20 · 4–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blues win 56.
STL 56%UTA 44%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ian Cole · 1st 03:18 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Logan Cooley · 1st 06:07 · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Logan Cooley · 1st 07:57 · 0–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Logan Cooley · 1st 10:55 · PP · 0–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Pius Suter · 2nd 05:58 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 07:13 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
7
Clayton Keller · 2nd 19:24 · GWG · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Nathan Walker · 3rd 02:19 · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Philip Broberg · 3rd 05:43 · 4–5
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 09:51 · PP · 4–6
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
11
Clayton Keller · 3rd 18:20 · EN · 4–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
9
Oskar Sundqvist, Colton Parayko · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4–5
10
Mikhail Sergachev, Clayton Keller · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4–6
No penalties
Goaltending
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/6 saves · 3 GA · 0.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.