Utah Mammoth
UTA · 4-4-2
4–5
Final / OTL
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 1-7-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
UTA
211280301423
SJS
0911731713546
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
UTA 4-4-2 · SJS 1-7-2 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
Mammoth fell to the Sharks
The Mammoth let a 4–1 lead get away: the Sharks came back with four unanswered goals — Toffoli's equalizer with 2:42 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Wennberg's goal. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sharks created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 46 and 23 shots on goal.
UTA 2.5 xG · 23 shots
SJS 4.8 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 1.4
2nd
1.2 · 1.3
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
OT · the swing
0.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 11:00 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Matias Maccelli · 1st 16:24 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Fabian Zetterlund · 2nd 09:12 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 10:38 · 3–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 19:36 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 15:28 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 15:53 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 17:18 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Alexander Wennberg · OT 01:26 · 4–5 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (66%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 20.
UTA 20%SJS 80%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 11:00 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Matias Maccelli · 1st 16:24 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Fabian Zetterlund · 2nd 09:12 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 10:38 · 3–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 19:36 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Fabian Zetterlund · 3rd 15:28 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Mikael Granlund · 3rd 15:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 17:18 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Alexander Wennberg · OT 01:26 · PP · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (66%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Vladislav Kolyachonok, Logan Cooley · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
41/46 saves · 5 GA · 4.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.