UTA
5–1
CGY
Final · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 5-4-2
5–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
2828112528
CGY
01311008131
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
UTA 5-4-2 · CGY 5-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
Mammoth beat the Flames
The Mammoth earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 2.0, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Dustin Wolf allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 28 and 31 shots on goal.
UTA 3.9 xG · 28 shots
CGY 2.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
1.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 04:41 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Barrett Hayton · 1st 19:58 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 03:53 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Maveric Lamoureux · 2nd 04:10 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 16:32 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Clayton Keller · 3rd 05:13 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 78.
UTA 78%CGY 22%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 04:41 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Barrett Hayton · 1st 19:58 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 03:53 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Maveric Lamoureux · 2nd 04:10 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 16:32 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Clayton Keller · 3rd 05:13 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
1
Michael Kesselring, Mikhail Sergachev · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3
Justin Kirkland, MacKenzie Weegar · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
