Utah Mammoth
UTA · 29-25-11
3–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 28-30-7
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
11711418339
ANA
081716221
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 1–2
UTA 29-25-11 · ANA 28-30-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 1–2
Mammoth beat the Ducks
The Mammoth earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 2.0, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Ville Husso stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 39 and 21 shots on goal.
UTA 4.1 xG · 39 shots
ANA 2.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack McBain · 1st 11:03 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 14:31 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alex Killorn · 2nd 15:53 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Mason McTavish · 3rd 03:22 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 07:03 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 81.
UTA 81%ANA 19%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack McBain · 1st 11:03 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 14:31 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alex Killorn · 2nd 15:53 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Mason McTavish · 3rd 03:22 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 07:03 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
1
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.