Utah Mammoth
UTA · 32-27-11
6–4
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 40-24-5
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
292729625
TBL
1621318427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
UTA 32-27-11 · TBL 40-24-5 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
Mammoth beat the Lightning
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.2 expected goals); the Mammoth won 6–4. Brandon Halverson allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.2, on 25 and 27 shots on goal.
UTA 2.9 xG · 25 shots
TBL 3.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Doan · 1st 06:42 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Logan Cooley · 1st 17:42 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Brayden Point · 1st 18:49 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 05:22 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 05:58 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 17:23 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Logan Cooley · 2nd 17:53 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 01:10 · 5–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
9
Brayden Point · 3rd 02:54 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Alexander Kerfoot · 3rd 19:03 · 6–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 45.
UTA 45%TBL 55%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Doan · 1st 06:42 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Logan Cooley · 1st 17:42 · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Brayden Point · 1st 18:49 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 05:22 · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 05:58 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 17:23 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Logan Cooley · 2nd 17:53 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 01:10 · GWG · 5–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
9
Brayden Point · 3rd 02:54 · 5–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Alexander Kerfoot · 3rd 19:03 · EN · 6–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.