Utah Mammoth
UTA · 8-4-0
2–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 6-4-2
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
1609112227
TBL
1911027426
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
UTA 8-4-0 · TBL 6-4-2 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
Mammoth fell to the Lightning
The Mammoth created the better chances (2.6 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Karel Vejmelka allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
UTA 2.6 xG · 27 shots
TBL 1.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Lawson Crouse · 1st 05:55 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Yanni Gourde · 1st 15:17 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 02:47 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 02:21 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 12:06 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:44 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 67.
UTA 67%TBL 33%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Lawson Crouse · 1st 05:55 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Yanni Gourde · 1st 15:17 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 02:47 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 02:21 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 12:06 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:44 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.