Utah Mammoth
UTA · 12-8-3
5–1
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 10-5-7
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
2804311523
VGK
08116010134
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
UTA 12-8-3 · VGK 10-5-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Mammoth beat the Golden Knights
The Mammoth were outchanced (4.4 to 3.1 expected goals) but won 5–1 anyway. Karel Vejmelka stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.1, on 34 and 23 shots on goal.
UTA 3.1 xG · 23 shots
VGK 4.4 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 2.2
3rd
1.3 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 14:54 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Logan Cooley · 1st 16:11 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 05:24 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Logan Cooley · 3rd 04:19 · 3–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
5
Logan Cooley · 3rd 15:41 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
6
Logan Cooley · 3rd 17:43 · 5–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 33.
UTA 33%VGK 67%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 14:54 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Logan Cooley · 1st 16:11 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 05:24 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Logan Cooley · 3rd 04:19 · 3–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
5
Logan Cooley · 3rd 15:41 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
6
Logan Cooley · 3rd 17:43 · EN · 5–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.