Utah Mammoth
UTA · 14-15-3
3–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-12-2
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
11321304330
FLA
11027119436
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
UTA 14-15-3 · FLA 15-12-2 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–1
Mammoth fell to the Panthers
The Mammoth were outchanced (4.2 to 2.8 expected goals) and lost 3–4. Lundell's winner came with 0:52 left. The Panthers owned the 3rd period, 2.1 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.8, on 36 and 30 shots on goal.
UTA 2.8 xG · 30 shots
FLA 4.2 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
1.6 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 2.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 11:23 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 19:17 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Sam Bennett · 2nd 01:40 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 03:24 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 03:37 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Jack McBain · 2nd 14:37 · 3–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Anton Lundell · 3rd 19:08 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 29.
UTA 29%FLA 71%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 11:23 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 19:17 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Sam Bennett · 2nd 01:40 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 03:24 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 03:37 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Jack McBain · 2nd 14:37 · 3–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Anton Lundell · 3rd 19:08 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.