UTA
5–3
SEA
Final · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 15-15-3
5–3
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 12-11-6
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
01221338533
SEA
09116212337
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
UTA 15-15-3 · SEA 12-11-6 · First meeting this season — the Mammoth lead the season series 1–0
Mammoth beat the Kraken
The Mammoth were outchanced (3.8 to 3.2 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 37 and 33 shots on goal.
UTA 3.2 xG · 33 shots
SEA 3.8 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
0.9 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Marchment · 2nd 03:35 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 08:09 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 13:24 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Mason Marchment · 3rd 07:50 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 12:55 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 17:49 · 4–2 · backhand shot, into an empty net
7
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 18:58 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
8
Ben Meyers · 3rd 19:17 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 42.
UTA 42%SEA 58%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Kraken shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Marchment · 2nd 03:35 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 08:09 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 13:24 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Mason Marchment · 3rd 07:50 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 12:55 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 17:49 · EN · GWG · 4–2
Backhand shot, into an empty net
7
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 18:58 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
8
Ben Meyers · 3rd 19:17 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
