UTA
6–1
TOR
Final · W
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 23-20-4
6–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 23-16-7
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
112311218641
TOR
060915120
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
UTA 23-20-4 · TOR 23-16-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Mammoth beat the Maple Leafs
The Mammoth earned it: 4.9 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Karel Vejmelka stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 41 and 20 shots on goal.
UTA 4.9 xG · 41 shots
TOR 2.1 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
2.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Carcone · 1st 03:22 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 05:26 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 06:44 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 15:25 · 4–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 03:30 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Jack McBain · 3rd 13:29 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (30%)
7
Daniil But · 3rd 16:54 · 6–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (55%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 85.
UTA 85%TOR 15%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Carcone · 1st 03:22 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 05:26 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 06:44 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 15:25 · 4–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 03:30 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Jack McBain · 3rd 13:29 · 5–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (30%)
7
Daniil But · 3rd 16:54 · 6–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (55%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
35/41 saves · 6 GA · 4.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
