UTA
3–4
PIT
Final · L
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 34-27-6
3–4
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 33-18-15
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
21206111329
PIT
0825210423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
UTA 34-27-6 · PIT 33-18-15 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Mammoth fell to the Penguins
The Mammoth let a 2–0 lead get away: the Penguins came back with four unanswered goals — Novak's equalizer — and won 3–4. Karel Vejmelka allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
UTA 4.0 xG · 29 shots
PIT 3.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 05:06 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Dylan Guenther · 1st 06:37 · 2–0 · deflected shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 14:48 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (39%)
4
Tommy Novak · 2nd 17:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Bryan Rust · 3rd 01:24 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Ian Cole · 3rd 04:17 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Noel Acciari · 3rd 08:03 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 65.
UTA 65%PIT 35%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 05:06 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Dylan Guenther · 1st 06:37 · PP · 2–0
Deflected shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 14:48 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (39%)
4
Tommy Novak · 2nd 17:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Bryan Rust · 3rd 01:24 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Ian Cole · 3rd 04:17 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Noel Acciari · 3rd 08:03 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
