Utah Mammoth
UTA · 37-29-6
2–5
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 35-28-9
1ST2ND3RDT
UTA
131708218
EDM
1837111526
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
UTA 37-29-6 · EDM 35-28-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Mammoth trail the season series 0–2
Mammoth fell to the Oilers
The Mammoth were outchanced (3.1 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Karel Vejmelka allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 26 and 18 shots on goal.
UTA 2.1 xG · 18 shots
EDM 3.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 1.9
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 11:12 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Jack Roslovic · 1st 14:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Matt Savoie · 2nd 11:24 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 11:59 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 12:07 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
6
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 15:04 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:52 · 2–5 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 33.
UTA 33%EDM 67%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 11:12 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Jack Roslovic · 1st 14:27 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Matt Savoie · 2nd 11:24 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Lawson Crouse · 2nd 11:59 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 12:07 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
6
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 15:04 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
10/10 saves · 0 GA · 0.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.