UTA
4–5
VGK
Final / OT · L
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 2-2
4–5
Final / OTL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
UTA
032112809431
VGK
2811011018536
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
UTA 2-2 · VGK 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Mammoth fell to the Golden Knights
The Mammoth were outchanced (4.5 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Theodore's goal. Carter Hart allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 36 and 31 shots on goal.
UTA 2.6 xG · 31 shots
VGK 4.5 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
2nd
1.4 · 1.6
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
OT
0.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 01:12 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Brett Howden · 1st 18:38 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
3
Cole Smith · 2nd 03:26 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 08:04 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
5
Ian Cole · 2nd 08:33 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Michael Carcone · 3rd 01:45 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Clayton Keller · 3rd 05:10 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Brett Howden · 3rd 10:25 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Shea Theodore · OT 19:08 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Mammoth win 23.
UTA 23%VGK 77%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Mammoth shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 01:12 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Brett Howden · 1st 18:38 · SH · 0–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
3
Cole Smith · 2nd 03:26 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 08:04 · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
5
Ian Cole · 2nd 08:33 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Michael Carcone · 3rd 01:45 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Clayton Keller · 3rd 05:10 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Brett Howden · 3rd 10:25 · 4–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Shea Theodore · OT 19:08 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
