WSH
5–1
TBL
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 7-7-2
5–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 7-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
1721126524
TBL
0901119129
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 7-7-2 · TBL 7-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Lightning
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.3 expected goals); the Capitals won 5–1. Darcy Kuemper stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.3, on 24 and 29 shots on goal.
WSH 3.3 xG · 24 shots
TBL 3.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd
1.4 · 1.2
3rd
0.8 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Mantha · 1st 10:32 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
· 2nd 07:03 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 14:25 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
4
Conor Sheary · 3rd 04:53 · 4–0 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Nick Perbix · 3rd 12:09 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 17:45 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 50.
WSH 50%TBL 50%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Mantha · 1st 10:32 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
· 2nd 07:03 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 14:25 · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
4
Conor Sheary · 3rd 04:53 · 4–0
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Nick Perbix · 3rd 12:09 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 17:45 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, Ian Cole · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–1
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
