BUF
4–5
COL
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-12-2
4–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 14-12-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
41201107430
COL
09115417541
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 11-12-2 · COL 14-12-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Avalanche
The Sabres let a 4–0 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with five unanswered goals — MacKinnon's equalizer — and won 4–5. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.4, on 30 and 41 shots on goal.
BUF 3.5 xG · 30 shots
COL 3.4 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.3
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
1.3 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 03:22 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (55%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 06:39 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
JJ Peterka · 1st 06:50 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 11:49 · 4–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 02:24 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 01:19 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 04:30 · 4–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 07:39 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 15:38 · 4–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 51.
BUF 51%COL 49%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 03:22 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (55%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 06:39 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
JJ Peterka · 1st 06:50 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 11:49 · 4–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 02:24 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 01:19 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 04:30 · 4–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 07:39 · 4–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 15:38 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/41 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/22 saves · 0 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
