Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 9-17-1
2–4
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 14-8-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
010112112234
WSH
0937111427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
CHI 9-17-1 · WSH 14-8-3 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
Blackhawks fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.5 expected goals); the Blackhawks lost 2–4. Arvid Soderblom allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
CHI 2.5 xG · 34 shots
WSH 2.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Philipp Kurashev · 2nd 06:49 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 08:11 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 13:50 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nic Dowd · 2nd 15:23 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
5
Nic Dowd · 3rd 15:58 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Connor Murphy · 3rd 18:18 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 50.
CHI 50%WSH 50%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Philipp Kurashev · 2nd 06:49 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 08:11 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 13:50 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nic Dowd · 2nd 15:23 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
5
Nic Dowd · 3rd 15:58 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Connor Murphy · 3rd 18:18 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.